Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#76
Expected Predictive Rating+10.2#53
Pace73.6#66
Improvement+2.2#83

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#76
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.5#152

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#76
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.7#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round23.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 154   UC Irvine W 65-54 81%     1 - 0 +8.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 14, 2017 340   Alabama St. W 94-63 98%     2 - 0 +13.6 -8.7 -8.7
  Nov 17, 2017 8   @ Kansas L 64-98 12%     2 - 1 -14.2 +9.9 +9.9
  Nov 20, 2017 119   Wyoming L 65-77 65%     2 - 2 -8.7 +1.6 +1.6
  Nov 21, 2017 86   Iowa W 80-72 53%     3 - 2 +14.3 +3.2 +3.2
  Nov 22, 2017 73   Buffalo W 94-80 49%     4 - 2 +21.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Nov 28, 2017 100   @ Mississippi W 99-97 OT 47%     5 - 2 +10.0 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 02, 2017 124   Missouri St. L 53-73 68%     5 - 3 -17.6 +1.2 +1.2
  Dec 05, 2017 19   @ Wichita St. L 85-95 17%     5 - 4 +7.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Dec 12, 2017 247   North Dakota W 99-63 92%     6 - 4 +27.9 -4.1 -4.1
  Dec 15, 2017 107   @ Colorado L 103-112 2OT 49%     6 - 5 -1.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Dec 19, 2017 162   Drake W 87-74 82%     7 - 5 +10.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Dec 22, 2017 289   @ UMKC W 85-60 86%     8 - 5 +20.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Jan 03, 2018 172   @ North Dakota St. W 87-80 67%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +9.6 +1.3 +1.3
  Jan 06, 2018 282   @ Nebraska Omaha W 101-88 86%     10 - 5 2 - 0 +8.8 -2.1 -2.1
  Jan 11, 2018 232   Oral Roberts W 78-75 90%     11 - 5 3 - 0 -4.1 -3.6 -3.6
  Jan 13, 2018 203   Denver W 94-72 88%     12 - 5 4 - 0 +16.5 -2.7 -2.7
  Jan 20, 2018 302   @ Western Illinois W 98-70 88%     13 - 5 5 - 0 +22.7 -2.7 -2.7
  Jan 24, 2018 74   @ South Dakota L 68-87 38%     13 - 6 5 - 1 -8.6 +5.2 +5.2
  Jan 27, 2018 161   Purdue Fort Wayne W 78-76 82%     14 - 6 6 - 1 -0.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 30, 2018 282   Nebraska Omaha W 80-60 94%     15 - 6 7 - 1 +9.8 -5.1 -5.1
  Feb 01, 2018 172   North Dakota St. W 82-63 84%     16 - 6 8 - 1 +15.6 -1.7 -1.7
  Feb 08, 2018 203   @ Denver W 81-77 74%     17 - 6 9 - 1 +4.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 10, 2018 232   @ Oral Roberts W 85-75 78%     18 - 6 10 - 1 +8.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Feb 17, 2018 302   Western Illinois W 82-62 95%     19 - 6 11 - 1 +8.6 -5.7 -5.7
  Feb 22, 2018 74   South Dakota W 76-72 61%     20 - 6 12 - 1 +8.3 +2.2 +2.2
  Feb 24, 2018 161   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 97-90 64%     21 - 6 13 - 1 +10.5 +1.8 +1.8
  Mar 03, 2018 302   Western Illinois W 66-60 92%     22 - 6 -2.4 -4.2 -4.2
  Mar 05, 2018 172   North Dakota St. W 78-57 77%     23 - 6 +20.6 -0.2 -0.2
  Mar 06, 2018 74   South Dakota W 97-87 49%     24 - 6 +17.3 +3.7 +3.7
Projected Record 24.0 - 6.0 13.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 13.5 53.4 32.6 0.5
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 13.5 53.4 32.6 0.5